1- University Azad Ardabil
2- University Azad Ardabil , taqi.masoumi@iau.ac.ir
3- Payame noor
Abstract: (12 Views)
The basic needs related to living conditions in today's cities in various sectors, including management, smartization, urban planning, and urban development, are among the main factors and are the basic solution to achieve the desired result. This research aims to investigate scenarios for realizing a smart city with an emphasis on the management of the city of Ardabil; which is applied in terms of purpose, qualitative in terms of data nature, and documentary and survey in terms of data collection method. The statistical population of the present study consists of 30 experts and specialists involved in urban affairs management. In the first step, the Delphi method was used to extract key variables, and various futures research methods such as cross-effects matrix analysis were used to process the data, and ScenarioWizard software was used to obtain smart city scenarios. In order to ensure the accuracy of the research results, 42 situations were defined for 14 key factors after obtaining the opinions of experts and urban affairs specialists. These situations are in three states: optimistic, intermediate, and pessimistic. The results indicate that there are 4 strong scenarios for the smart city of Ardabil. The excellent scenario or white scenario is the first and best scenario in the field of smart city and management of Ardabil city. In such a way that in all scenarios it is in the most optimistic possible state and only by considering the existence of specialized human resources in the current state can we hope for the realization of the smart city. The second scenario can also be included in the main priorities of urban planners in order to develop and achieve the smart city.
Type of Study:
Research |
Subject:
Futurology Received: 2025/09/22 | Accepted: 2025/12/30