Volume 6, Issue 1 (4-2025)
JFCV 2025, 6(1): 0-0 |
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salavarzi zadeh M, rahimipoor P. Identifying Key Factors Affecting on Big City governance with a Foresight Approach (Case Study: Kermanshah). JFCV 2025; 6 (1)
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-430-en.html
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-430-en.html
1- Ilam University , m.salavarzi@ilam.ac.ir
2- Ilam University
2- Ilam University
Abstract: (439 Views)
Looking to the future and drawing a vision for urban development are among the issues faced by urban administration. Today, with the advancement of science and technology and the speed of change, there is a need for strategic plans and programs at different levels. Therefore, urban communities need strategic and forward-looking thinking in the planning and management system for the development and transformation of cities. The aim of this research is to identify the, and analyze the relationships between these factors with a foresight approach and identify and analyze possible and desirable scenarios effective in the Kermanshah big city governance. To collect the required data, 34 factors and variables influencing on the Kermanshah big city in the five dimensions including Planning and administration; physical and spatial; financing mechanisms; environmental and political, social and cultural. Were extracted by designing a researcher-made questionnaire. In the next step, using the mutual effects technique (structural analysis method), the variables were scored and analyzed in the MIC MAC software environment. Finally, the drivers and key factors of urban planning were selected according to the impact score. The ranking results of variables and drivers effective in the development of the Kermanshah big city have shown that the variables: Responsibility of urban administration; Involving people in planning, decision-making and decision-making; Fair distribution of urban facilities; Utilization of new technologies; Plans for organizing, improving and renovation urban decay, and use of specialized human resources are the 6 variables that have gained the most points. Wizard scenario writing results have shown that there are 2 strong scenarios, 12 believable scenarios and 41 weak scenarios for the development of Kermanshah province.
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
Geography and Urban Planning
Received: 2025/01/1 | Accepted: 2025/03/1
Received: 2025/01/1 | Accepted: 2025/03/1
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