Volume 5, Issue 1 (4-2024)
JFCV 2024, 5(1): 0-0 |
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Amini M, Bahrololoum H, Andam R, Rabbani T. Futurism of sports tourism destinations based on a scenario approach (Case study: Isfahan province). JFCV 2024; 5 (1)
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-220-en.html
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-220-en.html
1- Shahroud University of Technology
2- Shahroud University of Technology , bahrololoum@shahroodut.ac.ir
3- Yazd University
2- Shahroud University of Technology , bahrololoum@shahroodut.ac.ir
3- Yazd University
Abstract: (499 Views)
Lack of attention to the future in the tourism policies of Iran and insisting on the model of "planning based on the current situation" has led to the adoption of very inefficient policies to manage sports tourism destinations. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to analyze the future of sports tourism destinations based on identifying the factors leading to possible scenarios up to the time horizon of 1410, which has been done through a case study in Isfahan province. The research method of this study is survey. Research data were collected using three methods: interview, theoretical literature review and weighted questionnaires. The statistical population of the study included 14 experts in the field of sports tourism. Data analysis was performed using structural analysis and scenario analysis. The findings showed that Isfahan sports tourism system is an unstable system with 16 scenarios including two unlikely scenarios, seven inconsistent scenarios, two low-probabilities, three medium-probability and two high-probability scenarios.The sixth scenario is the most likely scenario for the 10-year future of Isfahan province. Based on this scenario, investment in sports tourism infrastructure is stagnant or declining, and there will be no intelligent policy for the development of sports tourism. For this reason, The lack of a unified and coherent policy with the ability of continuous and dynamic updating at the national level, has led to the vulnerability of sports tourism destinations in Isfahan province. Therefore, the most important strategies and future planning actions should be focused on policy-making at the provincial level.
Keywords: ", Destination Planning", ", Regional Foresight", ", Structural Analysis", ", Scenario Planning", ", Uncertainty"
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