Volume 5, Issue 1 (4-2024)                   JFCV 2024, 5(1): 0-0 | Back to browse issues page

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Abili M, shayannia S A, gandomkar A, rahmati M, Fereidouni F. Simulating the future of tourism in Iran and China Based on the analysis of optimistic and pessimistic scenarios. JFCV 2024; 5 (1)
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-317-en.html
1- PhD Student of Management Department, Najaf Abad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najaf Abad, Iran.
2- Faculty Member of Management, firoozkooh Branch, Islamic Azad University, firoozkooh, Iran. , sheibat@yahoo.com
3- Faculty of Geography, Najaf Abad Branch, Islamic Azad University, Najaf Abad, Iran.
4- Faculty Member of Management, Chalus Branch, Islamic Azad University, Chalus, Iran.
5- Faculty Member of Engineering, Qazvin Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qazvin, Iran.
Abstract:   (600 Views)
The purpose of this research is the comparative model of loyalty. The research method was applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of methodology. The statistical population of the research included Iranian and Chinese tourists and 18 prominent university professors and experts. The tool asked by the researcher was tourism satisfaction, the reliability of the questionnaire using Cronbach's alpha is 0.81, the data was collected using NetLogo, and the 5 components that had the most impact on the tourism of the two countries were based on the opinions of experts. In response to the relevant questionnaires, among the influential factors, in the study of tourists' wages. We measured the internal relationships of components and sub-components with this software، In this research, first, five factors with the dimensions stated in the model were measured on satisfaction, and the mutual effects of the factors were identified using the software based on the basis of different scenarios (pessimistic, favorable and optimistic). In order to accommodate the loyalty of tourism, which also the simulation results show that the more up-to-date facilities such as smart technology, facilities, manpower training and the moderation of strict government policy and the level of advertising, and bring the tourist's expectations closer to the moderation level, the more trips will be made. It is between Iran and China. The most influential variable of intelligentization, which is a new approach to develop tourism and attract tourists in countries, and provide services that satisfy tourists and as a result, the continuation of tourism loyalty in the future of this industry.
     
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Futurology
Received: 2023/11/15 | Accepted: 2023/12/26

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