Volume 5, Issue 4 (1-2025)
JFCV 2025, 5(4): 105-119 |
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Safaipour M, alibakhshi * , A. Codification of effective stimuli for the tourism situation in Ahvaz city with a futuristic approach. JFCV 2025; 5 (4) : 6
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-314-en.html
URL: http://jvfc.ir/article-1-314-en.html
Codification of effective stimuli for the tourism situation in Ahvaz city with a futuristic approach
1- Department of Geography and Urban Planning, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz , safaee_85@yahoo.com
2- Ph.D. Candidate . geography and urban planning, Shahid Chamran University, Ahvaz
2- Ph.D. Candidate . geography and urban planning, Shahid Chamran University, Ahvaz
Abstract: (1196 Views)
The conditions and factors affecting the future development of tourism require decision-making in complex and dynamic current conditions, and in fact, it is futurology to be able to identify many of the effective threats and opportunities. The aim of this research is to develop drivers affecting the tourism status of Ahvaz city with a futurology approach. Accordingly, this research is applied in terms of purpose, and in terms of nature, it is based on new methods of futurology, analytical and exploratory, which has been carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Library methods in this research have been documentary and library. Qualitative data were collected with an open questionnaire and through interviews and review of documents, and quantitative data were used numerically and through weighting questionnaires prepared in Delphi form. The statistical population of the research consisted of 60 experts. Finally, the Mic Mac software was used to analyze the variables. Based on the results obtained from 48 variables, physical-environmental, social-cultural, institutional-organizational, and economic-financial factors have the greatest impact on the tourism of Ahvaz city. Based on the degree of susceptibility and impact of the variables, 13 variables are influential, 15 variables are in the risk spectrum, 11 variables are in the susceptibility spectrum, and 9 variables have a low degree of impact and susceptibility. Finally, based on the effects of the variables, the direct and indirect relationships of the variables in 5 spectra are very weak, weak, medium, relatively strong, and very strong effects have been categorized.
Article number: 6
Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
Geography and Urban Planning
Received: 2023/11/6 | Accepted: 2024/09/9
Received: 2023/11/6 | Accepted: 2024/09/9
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